UCL Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Spartak Trnava vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
TNV
87%
8%
4%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
AEK
1 - 1
TNV
56%
20%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 1
AEK
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
TNV
7 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 9
TNV
38%
21%
41%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
TNV
87%
8%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
TEL
1 - 4
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
6 - 0
GRO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
VOL
0 - 2
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |