Someo vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.3%
4.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.4%
93.7%
Win probability
4.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.6%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
5.1%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17.5%
0-5
9.5%
1-6
3.6%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
-5
13.7%
0-6
6.6%
1-7
2.1%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
9.1%
0-7
3.9%
1-8
1.1%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
5.2%
0-8
2.1%
1-9
0.5%
2-10
0.1%
-8
2.6%
0-9
1%
1-10
0.2%
-9
1.2%
0-10
0.4%
-10
0.4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
4 - 2
FCA
25%
23%
53%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
THU
1 - 2
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 5
FCA
16%
17%
66%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 3
FCA
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |