FC Sochi-2 vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+512%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
9º
9º
12
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sochi-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
3 - 1
SOC
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 4
SOC
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
DMA
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SOC
2 - 0
NCH
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | +7 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
FKP
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +3 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 2
SKC
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DMA
1 - 2
NAL
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
NAL
1 - 1
NCH
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
NAL
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 0
DDA
71%
16%
12%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |