FC Sochi-2 vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+989%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
9º
9º
27
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sochi-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 1
SOC
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
FKK
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 3
SKC
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DMA
0 - 1
SOC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 2
SOC
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
AST
1 - 0
NCH
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AST
4 - 1
DDA
81%
13%
7%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DIN
1 - 1
AST
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AST
2 - 0
ROS
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |