FK Smorgon vs Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
12º
47
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DNP
2 - 1
FCS
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 4
TOR
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 1
FCS
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
NAF
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MIN
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
DNM
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEM
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
FKA
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |