FK Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCS
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 3
VIT
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NEM
1 - 1
FCS
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
DNM
1 - 1
FCS
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
DSK
2 - 0
FCS
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 0
MIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DNP
2 - 1
NAF
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 2
GOM
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
NAF
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NAF
2 - 1
PMI
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |