UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 6-0
Skonto Riga vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 2
FCS
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2002 |
FCS
2 - 0
FKR
90%
7%
3%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
FCD
0 - 6
FCS
7%
13%
80%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
LIE
2 - 2
FCS
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
FCS
2 - 1
DIN
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
OSW
0 - 2
BAR
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
LLA
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BAR
6 - 0
CEF
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
CON
2 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |