Simba vs Tshinkunku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
LUB
0 - 2
SIM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
BFC
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 0
SIM
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
SIM
5 - 0
ASM
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 16 | 56 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 4
SIM
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tshinkunku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TSH
0 - 0
ASM
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 16 | 52 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TSH
0 - 2
TPM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 1
SAN
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
USP
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ASM
0 - 0
TSH
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 15 | 52 | +1 |