Simba vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 1
GBA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ASM
1 - 0
SIM
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 19 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
SIM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
FCT
68%
20%
11%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
DBL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ASM
0 - 1
TPM
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 19 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
USP
0 - 4
TPM
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TPM
3 - 0
TSH
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
TPM
5 - 1
GBA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 1
FCT
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |