Simba vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 1
DBL
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
RAN
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
USP
1 - 2
SIM
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
TPM
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 1
GBA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
0 - 1
TPM
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
RAN
2 - 3
MOT
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 0
FNJ
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 19 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |