Simba vs Groupe Bazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 1
SIM
52%
27%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SIM
2 - 0
NSG
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SIM
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
GBA
1 - 1
SIM
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 0
SIM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DIB
3 - 0
GBA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
OPA
3 - 0
GBA
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GBA
0 - 1
NSG
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
GBA
1 - 1
SIM
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
LUB
2 - 1
GBA
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |