Simba vs Tanganyika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+135%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
DBL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 1
SIM
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
TSH
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
LUB
0 - 2
SIM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
BFC
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tanganyika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FCT
3 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FCT
2 - 1
ASM
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 1
FCT
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
4 - 1
GBA
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
3 - 1
USP
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | +1 |