Simba vs Renaissance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GBA
0 - 0
SIM
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
2 - 0
LUB
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 2
SAI
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 1
RAN
37%
28%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
3 - 1
SIM
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Renaissance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
LUB
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
REN
0 - 2
SAN
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
RAN
0 - 1
REN
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
REN
0 - 0
SIM
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
DBL
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |