Simba vs Renaissance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SAI
0 - 2
SIM
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SIM
1 - 0
DBL
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 1
GBA
35%
31%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SIM
0 - 2
MOT
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Renaissance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
REN
4 - 1
BKD
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
MAN
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
RAN
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
RCK
0 - 1
REN
52%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
REN
0 - 3
TPM
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |