Simba vs Dauphins Noirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 2
USP
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
SIM
0 - 0
ASK
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 1
RAN
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GBA
4 - 0
SIM
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 0
SIM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dauphins Noirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
USP
1 - 0
DAU
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
DAU
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
DAU
1 - 2
JSK
52%
28%
21%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
DAU
1 - 0
LUB
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
DAU
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |