Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
7º
1º
67
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
SHA
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
3 - 0
INH
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 4
RBL
23%
22%
55%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 2
PFC
64%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 1
SHA
39%
23%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
INH
1 - 0
ZOR
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZOR
3 - 2
MET
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
MET
0 - 3
ZOR
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 1
ZOR
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 4
ZOR
13%
22%
65%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |