Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
STA
3 - 3
SHA
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 2
SHA
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
8 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 2
VOR
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MEZ
0 - 0
SHA
5%
12%
84%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | -6 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 1
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 2
SHA
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
UNM
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
4 - 1
FEN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +2 |