UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 2-0
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
KPT
1 - 2
SHA
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SHF
0 - 0
SHA
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
2 - 0
TAV
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
BOR
0 - 1
SHA
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
4 - 0
VOR
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SHF
0 - 0
SHA
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
FLO
1 - 1
SHF
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SHF
1 - 0
FLO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
DAC
1 - 2
SHF
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
TIR
4 - 4
SHF
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |