Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
SHA
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
PFC
1 - 1
SHA
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 0
OLI
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
4 - 0
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
STA
3 - 3
SHA
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
BET
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
SEV
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 1
DEP
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 1
SEV
35%
26%
40%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |