Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
1º
41
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 3
SHA
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 2
VOR
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 3
SHA
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RYV
1 - 1
SHA
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 3
FCP
33%
25%
43%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
LNZ Cherkasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LNZ
0 - 0
PFC
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
LNZ
44%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LNZ
2 - 4
DYN
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LNZ
2 - 1
RYV
39%
30%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SKD
0 - 0
LNZ
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |