Shakhtar Donetsk vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 0
MEZ
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
KRY
0 - 2
SHA
16%
24%
60%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
SHA
0 - 0
BRU
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SHA
3 - 0
TAV
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
DYN
3 - 0
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HOV
0 - 1
ILL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KPT
2 - 2
ILL
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 3
DNI
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 2
ARS
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ZOR
3 - 2
ILL
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |