Shakhtar Donetsk vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
DVS
0 - 2
SHA
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
HOV
0 - 3
SHA
14%
24%
61%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SHA
1 - 1
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
SHA
4 - 1
DVS
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
0 - 0
SHA
27%
26%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ILL
0 - 1
TAV
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
KRY
0 - 1
ILL
29%
28%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ILL
2 - 1
FCM
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
DNI
0 - 1
ILL
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ILL
1 - 1
VOL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |