Europa League Last 16
Global 4-1
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 1
VOR
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VOR
0 - 4
SHA
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
S04
0 - 3
SHA
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
S04
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RAN
0 - 0
SHA
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
AND
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AND
3 - 3
SDL
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
OLP
1 - 2
AND
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
WAA
1 - 0
AND
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
AND
1 - 0
OLP
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |