Santos vs SNL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VOO
3 - 1
SFC
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SFC
2 - 3
JRA
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DEV
5 - 4
SFC
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SFC
0 - 0
AFC
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
WUN
4 - 2
SFC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SNL
0 - 1
WUN
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
SNL
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
SNL
3 - 0
BOM
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SNL
1 - 0
VOO
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
PVV
1 - 2
SNL
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |