Santos vs PVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SFC
3 - 4
CAR
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 2
SFC
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SFC
4 - 2
BOM
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SFC
1 - 1
SNL
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VOO
3 - 1
SFC
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PVV
2 - 6
PAP
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 2
PVV
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PVV
1 - 1
ACO
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WUN
0 - 1
PVV
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 0
PVV
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |