Santos vs Jong Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
SFC
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SFC
2 - 1
SLE
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SFC
4 - 0
TAH
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ACO
3 - 2
SFC
45%
21%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
HAP
2 - 1
SFC
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Jong Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
KAM
1 - 2
AUR
45%
21%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 6
FLO
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
HAP
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SLE
0 - 3
AUR
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
4 - 1
TAH
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |