Santos vs Deva Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
57.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 2
WUN
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ACO
0 - 2
SFC
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SFC
4 - 2
PVV
58%
20%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SFC
3 - 4
CAR
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 2
SFC
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deva Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
DEV
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DEV
2 - 1
PAP
58%
19%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOM
0 - 1
DEV
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DEV
3 - 4
ACO
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 2
SNL
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |