Santos vs Caravan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 2
SFC
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SFC
4 - 2
BOM
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SFC
1 - 1
SNL
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VOO
3 - 1
SFC
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SFC
2 - 3
JRA
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caravan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 2
PVV
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SNL
1 - 2
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
ACO
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BOM
2 - 2
CAR
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VOO
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |