FC Amicitia Riehen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
75.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Amicitia Riehen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RHN
0 - 4
THU
11%
18%
72%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
WOH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |