Renaissance vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renaissance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
DAU
0 - 0
REN
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
KIV
1 - 0
REN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
TPM
4 - 1
REN
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
GBA
4 - 2
REN
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
DBL
1 - 1
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
JSK
2 - 1
SIM
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SIM
0 - 2
MOT
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
SIM
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SIM
2 - 3
VCL
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 0
MOT
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |