Porto vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
96%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
2.4%
7-0
4.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
8.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
<0%
+6
9.1%
5-0
12.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
14.2%
4-0
15.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
18.6%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
3.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
3.2%
0.5%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAI
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
FEL
0 - 3
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FAT
0 - 2
VIL
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
VST
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |