Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 2
FCP
30%
24%
46%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
FCP
6 - 1
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCP
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GFC
2 - 1
VAR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOA
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |