Porto vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FCP
4 - 1
ATL
85%
11%
3%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
UFT
2 - 0
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 0
UFT
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
UFT
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 0
UFT
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
UFT
0 - 0
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |