Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDL
5 - 2
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NAV
0 - 2
UDL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 1
EST
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |