Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
4 - 0
VIL
96%
3%
1%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 1
BEL
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 2
UDL
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
VIT
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 2
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
UDL
3 - 3
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |