Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1996 |
CAM
0 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
FCP
6 - 3
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
UDL
1 - 3
LEC
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 1
UDL
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
UDL
2 - 0
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
SCP
0 - 0
UDL
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
UDL
2 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |