Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FCP
2 - 1
SPB
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 2
FCP
36%
25%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FCP
0 - 0
BOA
82%
14%
4%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FCP
6 - 0
BAT
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 4
SCP
15%
23%
63%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 4
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |