Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 4
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
FCP
7%
15%
78%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAÇ
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
20%
24%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
SCP
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TRO
0 - 1
SCP
9%
18%
74%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
SCP
4 - 3
MAF
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SCP
3 - 2
NAC
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
SCP
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |