Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 1
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 0
SAL
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCP
30%
24%
47%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
FCP
0 - 2
SCP
60%
19%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BMA
1 - 1
FCP
28%
22%
50%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
LGC
56%
22%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPC
85%
10%
6%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 0
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |