Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
FCP
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAB
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
LGC
0 - 1
SPC
60%
21%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |