Porto vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 2
FCP
25%
22%
53%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
FCP
5 - 0
BOA
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 2
SCP
18%
20%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
66%
19%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
40%
24%
35%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 0
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
3 - 0
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |