Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
TON
0 - 3
FCP
13%
21%
66%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ROM
2 - 1
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
13%
21%
66%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
14%
22%
65%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 2
BEL
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 2
SPB
18%
23%
60%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
SPB
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |