Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 1
FCP
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 0
GFC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
EST
0 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
RIO
2 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SPB
3 - 1
ALV
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SPB
1 - 0
BOA
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GFC
0 - 0
SPB
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |