Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Porto vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1995 |
SAM
0 - 1
FCP
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
UDL
0 - 2
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 0
ROM
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1995 |
SAM
0 - 1
FCP
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
SAM
0 - 1
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
USF
1 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |