Porto vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 0
BJK
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 1
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BOA
2 - 0
NAV
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
NAV
2 - 1
PAÇ
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
NAV
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 0
UDL
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |