Porto vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
4 - 1
ARO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
EIN
3 - 3
FCP
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCP
0 - 1
EST
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
FCP
2 - 2
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
NAP
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 1
SWA
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 0
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |