Porto vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
FCP
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
FEI
75%
18%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
BEL
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 3
BEL
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 1
MOR
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 4
ARO
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |