Porto vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
4.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VST
3 - 1
FCP
23%
21%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
36%
21%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLH
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 0
BOA
49%
22%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
39%
24%
38%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
VST
2 - 1
LUS
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |