Europa League 1/16

Global 4-3

Porto vs Lazio analysis

Porto Lazio
89 ELO 86
9.8% Tilt 9.6%
113º General ELO ranking 15º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59%
Porto
21.4%
Draw
19.7%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Porto
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.7%
Win probability
Lazio
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porto
-1%
-3%
Lazio

ELO progression

Porto
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2022
FCP
Porto
2 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
43%
24%
34%
88 88 0 0
06 Feb. 2022
ARO
Arouca
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
11%
18%
71%
88 68 20 0
30 Jan. 2022
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
79%
14%
7%
88 70 18 0
23 Jan. 2022
FCP
Porto
3 - 1
Famalicão
FAM
76%
15%
9%
88 72 16 0
16 Jan. 2022
BEL
Belenenses SAD
1 - 4
Porto
FCP
10%
18%
72%
88 64 24 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2022
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Bologna
BOL
71%
17%
12%
86 77 9 0
09 Feb. 2022
ACM
Milan
4 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
87 90 3 -1
05 Feb. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
86 84 2 +1
22 Jan. 2022
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
33%
23%
44%
86 90 4 0
18 Jan. 2022
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
75%
15%
10%
86 79 7 0