UCL 1/16
Global 3-2
Porto vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.4%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
FCP
2 - 1
ESP
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
14%
28%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
FCP
0 - 0
BOA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
HJK
3 - 2
APO
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
APO
1 - 0
HJK
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SGD
7 - 2
HJK
100%
0%
0%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
HJK
1 - 0
SGD
2%
16%
82%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 2
HJK
64%
18%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |